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2025-01-12
Men lose 17 minutes of life with every cigarette they smoke while a woman’s life is cut short by 22 minutes with each cigarette, experts have estimated. This is more than previous estimates, which suggest that each cigarette shortens a smoker’s life by 11 minutes. The new estimates, which suggest that each cigarette leads to 20 minutes loss of live on average across both genders, are based on more up-to-date figures from long-term studies tracking the health of the population. Researchers from University College London said that the harm caused by smoking is “cumulative” and the sooner a person stops smoking, and the more cigarettes they avoid smoking, the longer they live. The new analysis, commissioned by the Department for Health and Social Care, suggests that if a 10-cigarettes-a-day smoker quits on January 1, then by January 8 they could “prevent loss of a full day of life”. By February 20, their lives could be extended by a whole week. And if their quitting is successful until August 5, they will likely live for a whole month longer than if they had continued to smoke. The authors added: “Studies suggest that smokers typically lose about the same number of healthy years as they do total years of life. Make 2025 the year you quit smoking for good. There’s lots of free support available to help you. Find out more 🔽 https://t.co/J0ehnoRM1D pic.twitter.com/LQpUp6HJBm — WHH 🏥 (@WHHNHS) December 27, 2024 “Thus smoking primarily eats into the relatively healthy middle years rather than shortening the period at the end of life, which is often marked by chronic illness or disability. “So a 60-year-old smoker will typically have the health profile of a 70-year-old non-smoker.” The analysis, to be published in the Journal of Addiction, concludes: “We estimate that on average, smokers in Britain who do not quit lose approximately 20 minutes of life expectancy for each cigarette they smoke. “This is time that would likely be spent in relatively good health. “Stopping smoking at every age is beneficial but the sooner smokers get off this escalator of death the longer and healthier they can expect their lives to be.” Dr Sarah Jackson, principal research fellow from the UCL Alcohol and Tobacco Research Group, said: “It is vital that people understand just how harmful smoking is and how much quitting can improve their health and life expectancy. “The evidence suggests people lose, on average, around 20 minutes of life for each cigarette they smoke. “The sooner a person stops smoking, the longer they live. “Quitting at any age substantially improves health and the benefits start almost immediately. “It’s never too late to make a positive change for your health and there are a range of effective products and treatments that can help smokers quit for good.” There are so many reasons to quit smoking this New Year – for your health, for more money, and for your family. Make a fresh quit for 2025 – find tips and support at https://t.co/GyLk65o8kS or https://t.co/iW6WLxTL00 pic.twitter.com/KxPZ5N378y — North Tees and Hartlepool NHS Foundation Trust (@NTeesHpoolNHSFT) December 27, 2024 Health officials have said that smokers can find advice, support and resources with the NHS Quit Smoking app, as well as the online Personal Quit Plan. Public health minister Andrew Gwynne said: “Smoking is an expensive and deadly habit and these findings reveal the shocking reality of this addiction, highlighting how important it is to quit. “The new year offers a perfect chance for smokers to make a new resolution and take that step.” Commenting on the paper, Professor Sanjay Agrawal, special adviser on tobacco at the Royal College of Physicians, said: “Every cigarette smoked costs precious minutes of life, and the cumulative impact is devastating, not only for individuals but also for our healthcare system and economy. “This research is a powerful reminder of the urgent need to address cigarette smoking as the leading preventable cause of death and disease in the UK.”New Broadcom sales plan may be “insignificant” in deterring VMware migrations711 fitness



Mediaweek’s Media Movers charts the biggest people moves in the industry over the past week. Paul “Fatty” Vautin is retiring from Channel 9 , marking the end of a 33-year career at the network. Known for his wit, warmth, and passion for rugby league, Vautin leaves a legacy of countless live sports commentary and entertainment hostings that created unforgettable television moments. Following his playing career where he represented Australia and captained his beloved Queensland Maroons and Manly Sea Eagles, including a premiership in 1987, Vautin began his broadcasting career at Channel 9 in 1991 on the Midday show alongside Ray Martin, Derryn Hinch and Kerri-Anne Kennerley, where he co-hosted a weekly sports segment with former cricketer Simon O’Donnell. Jenni Dill and Martin Brown The Australian Association of National Advertisers (AANA) announced a renewed board with Jenni Dill appointed chair of the board as Martin Brown steps down from the role. Brown reflected on his tenure and said: “I’m incredibly proud of how far AANA has come, the value we are delivering to our members and the impact we are having on the industry. This was made possible through the trust of our members, the dedication of the AANA team and the support of our board. I am confident that AANA will soar to new heights with Jenni Dill at the helm.” Dill thanked Brown for his leadership and said: “Martin has made an incredible contribution to AANA and the industry. We cannot thank him enough for leaving the AANA in such a strong position as the leading marketing industry body in Australia. I’m both honoured and excited to step into this role and lead our efforts in supporting and championing Australia’s marketing community.” After 15 years as a co-host, ABC News Breakfast ‘s Michael Rowland is leaving the program . The broadcaster revealed his departure Monday, saying he was taking a long break, but assured he would return with the ABC later in 2025. Friday, 13 December will be Rowland’s last day on air. Rowland started at the ABC over 35 years ago and has co-hosted News Breakfast since 2010. “I will miss the fabulous Brekky team, but I will miss our viewers even more. I am intensely proud of helping build the News Breakfast audience over the years. Thank you all sincerely for entrusting me with your mornings,” he said. Angela Robinson Publicis Sapient has appointed Angela Robinson as country managing director (MD) for Australia, based in Publicis Sapient’s Melbourne office. Robinson’s appointment reflects the importance of Australia for Publicis Sapient’s continued global growth. The digital consulting company’s deep expertise in digital innovation and artificial intelligence ( AI ) solutions directly supports the country’s digital business transformation goal to become a world-leading digital economy and society by 2030 . As managing director for Australia, Robinson will play a strategic role in driving business growth in Australia, as well as managing the operational business and community. The Brag Media , Australia’s largest creator of premium youth content and events, has announced Neil Griffiths as the new Editor-in-Chief of Rolling Stone Australia . Griffiths will quit his current role of Managing Editor at trade media website Mumbrella to join the iconic music brand in January 2025. Griffiths has more than a decade of experience in media and entertainment across print, online, radio, TV and podcasting. He has worked both in Australia and New York across a variety of platforms and hosted music and entertainment podcast The Plug. He was previously Head of Online News and Content at themusic.com.au . [insert Jack’s pic] The Brag Media has also confirmed it will strengthen its commercial leadership team with the promotion of Jack Castles to Head of NSW Partnerships. Castles will assume responsibility for the strategic oversight of the NSW client portfolio and oversee the management, development and growth of partnership opportunities in the state, reporting directly to Batoul Peters , Head of National Partnerships. Castles joined The Brag Media as Partnerships Manager in June 2023 and has driven impressive commercial growth. Pearman Media has welcomed Katy Lozancic as general manager. Lozancic brings a wealth of global knowledge and leadership to the independent media agency team with her extensive experience in both the independent and agency sectors. Her background includes a long tenure at Group M Australia, where she served as a client lead and general manager of MediaCom and managing director of Maxus. Dominic Pearman , managing director of Pearman, said: “Having someone with the calibre of Katy is exactly what we need. Katy’s experience in navigating the complexities of Independents and Network agencies makes her a perfect fit for our culture and values. “Her proven track record in driving growth and innovation within global network media agencies will also be invaluable as we are on a significant growth journey.” Mike Byrne ARN has let go of Mike Byrne , content director for WSFM, following the station’s milestone achievement of reaching the coveted number-one spot in the most recent radio survey. Byrne’s exit marks the end of a significant chapter for the Sydney station, which he has led since January 2020. The news follows ARN’s announcement that WSFM will be rebranded as GOLD101.7 in January 2025. ARN confirmed the news today with Mediaweek in a statement acknowledging Byrne’s instrumental role in WSFM’s success. “Mike leaves having achieved the milestone of taking WSFM to number 1 overall for the first time since it converted to FM,” the statement read. “A loyal and passionate member of the ARN family, we sincerely thank Mike for his outstanding contributions.” Orchard has appointed Anne Ngo to the newly created role of head of customer growth and martech. In her new role at the creative technology agency , Ngo will be responsible for driving Orchard’s martech offering across both its consumer and healthcare divisions, as well as innovating across customer experience, data, and martech. Ngo has over 15 years of global experience in customer growth, lifecycle marketing, and digital transformation and brings a a wealth of experience in both CX and martech to Orchard. She joins the agency after spending nearly four years as Akcelo’s customer strategy and martech director. Anne Ngo Morning Glory with Matty Johns will return to SEN in 2025, marketing the host’s fifth year on air with the network. Kicking off on Friday 7 February 2025, the show will air weekly from 9 am to midday AEST, broadcast across SEN stations including SEN 1170am in Sydney, SENQ 693am in Brisbane, and SEN 1620am on the Gold Coast, with fans being able to enjoy their favourite Friday tradition, running all the way through until the NRL Grand Final in October. Matty Johns first joined SEN in October 2020 during the launch of the network’s 1170am band in Sydney, with the show later simulcasting into Brisbane following the inception of SENQ 693am in July 2022. Johns’ weekly program has gone on to be a hit with both radio and digital audiences, with professional rugby league player-turned-media personality known for his unique blend of humour, insight, and a touch of chaos. Johns is ready to deliver more of what listeners love in 2025, with iconic segments like ‘Movie of the Week’, ‘Morning Glory Jeopardy’, and a host of surprises all returning. Jack Nimble revealed a change in leadership ahead of the new year, three years since its acquisition by Sparro in 2021. James McInnes, Adam Wise, Angus Mullane, Hayley Olsson Co-founders Adam Wise and Angus Mullane have decided to leave the business to pave the way for the next generation of leadership and spend time with their families. Stepping up are long-standing employees of Jack Nimble, James McInnes and Hayley Olsson . The duo have been promoted to key roles to fulfil the day-to-day leadership responsibilities of the business. They will work closely with Sparro co-founders Morris and Cam Bryant to guide the agency strategy moving forward. Flywheel , Omnicom’s cloud-based digital commerce practice within global marketing and sales solutions company , has appointed Mohammad Heidari Far as managing director, and Elise Luu as eCommerce director for Flywheel Australia. The company, which has operations in the Americas, Europe, and APAC, provides a wide range of data and AI-powered commerce solutions ranging from self-service software to full-service management of digital commerce operations across more than 400 digital marketplaces, including nine of the top 10 global marketplaces and key Australian retailers including Amazon, Coles 360, Cartology, MixIn, and Uber . “Australia represents one of the most dynamic and high-growth regions for digital commerce,” Alex McCord , CEO of Flywheel, said. “Mo and Elise bring strong leadership, expertise, and a proven track record of success in unlocking growth for clients both globally and locally. They will be instrumental in driving value for Omnicom’s clients as we continue to expand our presence and deliver transformative commerce solutions in the region. Jasmin Bedir, Giorgia Butler and Brendan Willenberg. Innocean Australia CEO Jasmin Bedir has welcomed the appointment of Brendan Willenberg as the agency’s new executive creative director. Willenberg steps into the role after Wesley Hawes exited the business in October to join 72andSunny as its new ANZ chief creative officer. Willenberg has enjoyed a 20-year career as one of the nation’s top creatives and led some of the country’s best-known non-traditional campaigns, including “Pitvertising” for Rexona, “Losing Lena” for Code Like a Girl, “Support Acts” for Wrigley’s Extra, and “Fallout with a V” for V Energy drinks. He has won a host of Cannes Lions, Effies, AWARD Awards, One Show and Spikes and was runner up for the Fast Company World Changing Ideas Award for Code Like a Girl’s “Losing Lena” campaign. He was named the fifth best ECD in APAC by One Show and won AWARD’s Agency of the Year in 2019 at Clemenger. StackAdapt has appointed Alessandra Alessio as director of marketing for the APAC region. Alessio will focus on elevating the multi-channel advertising platform‘s brand presence across the region and will lead marketing strategies to showcase the company’s full suite of capabilities and support brands navigating an increasingly complex digital landscape. She brings just under two decades of experience in the digital advertising industry to StackAdapt and will spearhead growth initiatives across Asia-Pacific. Alessio, who will be based in Singapore for the role, joins StackAdapt after 16 years at Google, covering B2B marketing and sales roles, focusing on adtech, measurement, and data privacy solutions. Josh Adsett Seven’s former chief of staff, Josh Adsett , has been appointed executive editor for 10 News First Queensland , bringing over 25 years of experience reporting on Queensland’s most significant stories. In his new role, Adsett will helm the 5pm bulletin for 10 News First Queensland, leading a dedicated team of journalists and production crews to deliver the news that matters most to Queenslanders. Adsett, a Brisbane native, began his journalism career in 1998 with 7 Local News in Mackay. He went on to work as a reporter, story producer, and bureau chief with 7 News Brisbane Gold Coast Bureau, and later served as chief of staff for 7 News Gold Coast. Martin White , head of broadcast news at Paramount Australia and New Zealand, said: “Josh embodies everything we stand for at 10 News First. He’s an exceptional journalist, a skilled newsmaker, and an inspiring leader. I’m excited to see the impact he will have as we continue to strengthen our commitment to local news in Queensland.” Andrea Van Unen-Smith Senetas Corporation has appointed Andrea Van Unen-Smith as chief marketing officer . In the role, Van Unen-Smith will oversee Senetas’ marketing and public relations focusing on aligning with key industry narratives, including the impact of quantum computing on cybersecurity. Van Unen-Smith brings a wealth of experience to the Cybersecurity and secure networking solutions company, with over two decades in technology marketing and communications, including roles at Juniper Networks , Palo Alto Networks , and UiPath . Her expertise in driving comms strategy across cybersecurity, networking, and automation, makes her an ideal leader to drive Senetas’ next stage of growth. Throughout her career, she has been instrumental in shaping marketing initiatives, developing impactful campaigns, and enhancing brand visibility in highly technical and competitive global markets. Beau Ryan, Natarsha Belling and Aaron Woods have been named the new breakfast hosts of 104.9 Triple M Sydney after Mark Geyer was axed from the spot earlier this month. Starting on January 20, Triple M Breakfast with Beau, Tarsh & Woodsy, brings together three fantastic local Sydney voices to engage and entertain listeners, from 6-9 am weekdays on 104.9 Triple M Sydney and LiSTNR . Dave Cameron , SCA chief content officer, said: “In 2025, the Triple M network will continue to have a steadfast approach to locally focussed Breakfast shows across the country, hosted by much-loved local identities in each city that can connect with local audiences and clients. Sydneysiders know their city to be Australia’s most exciting, and they deserve something just as exciting, fresh and locally relevant to wake up to, instead of the tired same-same approach of other Sydney stations.” Beau Ryan, Natarsha Belling and Aaron WoodsEver wanted to bring your dog with you aboard a cruise ship? Do you have a business focused on dogs and their families? If you answered yes to either question, you’ll be excited to learn that what’s being called the first-ever dog-friendly cruise is being planned aboard Margaritaville at Sea’s Islander out of the Port of Tampa in November 2025. And business opportunities await. Cruise ships famously don’t allow dogs other than service animals. Organizers of this cruise anticipate selecting from a long line of hopefuls. A “waitlist for all dog parents who have dreamt of bringing their furry friends along for their vacations will open soon,” a news release says. Organizers are calling for 250 dogs, “their owners and their closest humans” to become “inaugural ambassadors” for the cruise, which they promise will offer “unique experiences and activities including gifts and samples from top vendors, dog shows and trainings, guest speakers, costume contests, parades, and more.” The event is being staged by two organizations — Cruise Tails and Expedia Cruises of West Orlando. The website cruisetails.com seeks sponsors and investors in hopes of turning the cruise into a recurring event. Sponsorship and partnership opportunities are available for companies seeking brand visibility “across a passionate pet-loving audience,” the site says. And participants must sign photo waivers, the website says, adding, “We anticipate the fun will be all over social media and even in the press. In fact, the 250 chosen will undoubtedly be asked by sponsors to try products and post about them.” Cruise Tails was formed by Steve Matzke, a Bradenton-based entrepreneur listed on LinkedIn as beginning his career this month as an “independent consultant.” Matzke spent four years prior to that as senior director of external relations for the American Accounting Association, and 12 years before that as director of faculty and university initiatives for the American Institute of CPAs, his LinkedIn profile shows. Expedia Cruises of West Orlando was founded in 2019 by Dawn von Graff, an avid traveler who has taken more than 75 cruises and visited more than 80 countries, and her husband. She owned a computer networking firm, worked as an international tour manager, and was a top salesperson for Marriott before forming Expedia Cruises of West Orlando as a full-service travel agency. Details including dates, prices and itineraries have not yet been released. According to the website, organizers hope to select the inaugural 250 dogs based partly on how the dogs perform in a “video talent singing contest” as well as “a variety of criteria” to be announced “over the next few weeks.” The bigger the dog’s entourage, the better chance it will have to be chosen, the website says. “Preference will be given to dogs in a group which includes one dog cabin traveling with two or more associated cabins of friends or family without dogs,” it says. A spokeswoman for Margaritaville at Sea says the organizers are chartering the Islander, and the cruise will not be available for booking to the general public. Each dog will have “private relief stations” on their cabin balconies, and when dogs don’t make it to the relief station, each will have its own “pet butler” to ensure “their cabin and the boat remain in top condition,” a Cruise Tails spokeswoman said. Participants must agree to follow protocols on board, including keeping their dogs in permitted areas and making sure they are up to date with appropriate vaccinations. Dogs will not be allowed in dining areas, the ship’s casino, pool decks, lounges or music venues, according to the news release. Organizers will also be looking for workers and vendors. “We’re going to need dog walkers, pet butlers, and so much more,” the website says. And “if you have a proven skill like pet massage, grooming and pet walking or if you make custom dog costumes, have a unique dog product you would like to promote or are a well-known dog expert, we would love to chat with you.” Calls for pet handlers and vendors will be posted “in the next few months,” the site says. Whether the event turns into the profitable industry that its organizers hope for will undoubtedly depend on how the first one unfolds. A spokeswoman did not immediately have answers to such questions of what will happen to dogs that get aggressive with humans or other dogs? Will owners be required to purchase additional insurance to cover any possibilities? Will food be provided and how will feedings be handled? Contributors on Reddit.com posted mixed reactions to the announcement on Monday. “Cruises are already floating petri dishes. This doesn’t seem like a very good idea,” said one. “Now all decks are poop decks,” said another. A couple of posters worried about dogs going overboard. One said, “sounds awesome if you like dogs,” while another chimed in, “Better than a gorilla-friendly cruise, I suppose.” Ron Hurtibise covers business and consumer issues for the South Florida Sun Sentinel. He can be reached by phone at 954-356-4071, on Twitter @ronhurtibise or by email at rhurtibise@sunsentinel.com.

The Centre for Ageing Better said data analysed on its behalf suggested more than a fifth of people in this age group are living in a poor-quality home that could be making their existing health condition worse. It said people from black and minority ethnic backgrounds, those living in London and those who have a serious health condition or disability are more likely to be affected. Data from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing covering 2022/23 was analysed by the National Centre for Social Research on behalf of the charity. It found an estimated 4.5 million people aged 50 or older in England with a health condition aggravated by the cold are living in a home with one or more serious problems. Some 2.8 million were aged between 50 and 70, while 1.7 million were aged 70 and older. Health conditions included respiratory diseases, congestive heart failure, heart disease and lung conditions, including asthma. Housing problems identified in the research included damp, water leaks, bad condensation, electrical or plumbing problems, rot and decay. While some 2.2 million people over 50 with health and housing problems owned their home outright, the biggest proportion of people (51%) with such issues lived in rented accommodation. The charity said older renters with a health condition were up to three times more likely to have five or more issues with their home than someone in the same age group who owns their home. Those with a health condition that can be affected by poor housing who had a significant issue in their homes were most likely to live in London (52%) followed by the North East (35%) and the North West (35%), the West Midlands and the East of England (both on 28%), and the South West (27%). Almost half (46%) of people aged 50 and above from black and minority ethnic backgrounds with one of the health conditions had at least one problem with their home, which the charity said amounted to almost 500,000 people. Among white people in this age group it was just under one in three (32%). The research also suggested people from black and minority ethnic backgrounds living with a health condition were also more than twice as likely to have five or more issues with their housing compared with their white counterparts – 15% compared with 6%. Dr Carole Easton, the charity’s chief executive, said not only does the research show the difficulties faced by those living in poor housing, but it is also “very bad news” for both the economy and the NHS. She said: “Our latest research shows that our poor-quality housing crisis is putting people with health conditions in their 50s, 60s and beyond, in harm’s way. “This is obviously terrible for those individuals who live in homes that carry a very real risk of making them sick, particularly when winter comes around. “But it is also very bad news for the country. Older workers living in homes that are making their health conditions worse are going to be less likely to be able to work and help grow the economy. “Older people whose serious health conditions are made worse by their homes will require treatment, putting additional winter pressures on our health system. “All could be averted if we tackled poor-quality housing with the urgency and priority it demands.” Holly Holder, deputy director for homes at the charity, said the Government must “fix this hidden housing crisis by delivering a national strategy to tackle poor quality housing across all tenures and committing to halving the number of non-decent homes over the next decade”. She added: “No-one should have to live in a home that damages their health, yet it is the norm for far too many people in England today. “By failing to address poor-quality homes we are limiting the lives of some of the country’s poorest and most vulnerable people. “Our new analysis shows that the combination of health and house problems are most likely to impact groups of people who are already disadvantaged by multiple health and wealth inequalities.” A Government spokesperson said: “Despite the challenging inheritance faced by this Government, through our Plan for Change we’re taking action to improve housing conditions across all tenures and ensure homes are decent, safe and warm – especially for the most vulnerable. “We’re consulting on reforms to the Decent Homes Standard next year to improve the quality of social and privately rented housing, and introducing Awaab’s Law to both sectors to tackle damp, dangerous and cold conditions for all renters in England. “Our warm homes plan will also help people find ways to save money on energy bills and deliver cleaner heating, with up to 300,000 households to benefit from upgrades next year.”

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Tucson high school senior Angeles says she tries to be a role model for her two younger siblings, as well as her cousins who still live in southern Mexico. The 17-year-old stays busy with school, her part-time job in Marana's outlet mall and playing bass in a band with friends. She’s been accepted at Northern Arizona University in Flagstaff, where she hopes to study business. But as the eldest, U.S.-born daughter of two undocumented parents, Angeles said that sense of responsibility has been weighing on her since Donald Trump won the presidential election, following repeated campaign promises to "launch the largest deportation effort in American history." “It’s often in my head, especially at work,” she said, her voice breaking. “I’m just scared to come back one day and not see my parents at my house.” Monica and her husband, who are undocumented, and their three children Angeles, Amaya and Axel, who were all born in the U.S., put their hands together. “I’m just scared to come back one day and not see my parents at my house," Angeles says. Instead of feeling excitement about NAU, Angeles says she can't help but think about the worst-case scenario. If her parents were to be deported, she's prepared to delay or leave college and start working full-time to support her younger sister until she finishes high school. Her parents act calm when discussing how their family would deal with such a situation, but Angeles says she knows they’re stressed. “I see it by looking at their eyes,” said Angeles, who asked the Arizona Daily Star to only use her first name. “We have so much here. We have community. If they do end up getting deported, they would be losing so much.” Between the twin threats of Trump's promised mass deportations, and the passage of Proposition 314 in Arizona — which allows local police to arrest people for immigration violations — many in Southern Arizona's immigrant community are experiencing fear and anxiety reminiscent of the days of SB1070. That's Arizona's notorious "show-me-your-papers" law, passed in 2010, which has been largely nullified by the courts. "The scary part is both the state and federal attacks combined," said Carolina Silva, director of immigrant-youth-led Scholarships A-Z, which advocates for education equity for undocumented students. SB1070 offers lessons for organizers today, although, with Trump in the presidency, it's harder to predict what the reality will look like, Silva said. "There’s a sense of, we’ve been on a similar train before but, as we know, Trump is a really chaotic individual. He has really anti-immigration people in his cabinet, so we can’t take much safety or comfort" in past experience, she said. Amid the uncertainty, many are finding solidarity in Tucson advocacy groups, which are mobilizing to inform the immigrant community about their rights and making plans to defend those vulnerable to deportation. "We're going to create a plan of accompaniment and ultimately, a plan of resistance," said immigrant-rights activist Isabel García, an attorney with Coalición de Derechos Humanos — Human Rights Coalition — and co-founder of Tucson’s “Stop the Hate” collective. "We have to protect our brothers and sisters in the community." Isabel Garcia listens to one of the dozens of people who turned out for the weekly meeting of Coalición de Derechos Humanos in Tucson on Thursday evening, discussing ways to deal with the incoming Trump administration’s mass deportation plans. "We're going to create a plan of accompaniment and ultimately, a plan of resistance," says Garcia, an immigrant-rights attorney. Advocates and experts say mass deportations won't begin suddenly; there's time to make emergency plans, organize important documents and contact lawyers. Any effort to ramp up deportations will face considerable logistical, financial, diplomatic and legal challenges, including the limits of Immigration and Customs Enforcement's capacity to detain people, the willingness of other countries to accept deportations, and the already massive backlog in U.S. immigration courts, experts say. Most immigrants who are already settled in the U.S., rather than recent arrivals at the border, can't be deported without a hearing before an immigration judge. "Any kind of significant ramp up in enforcement will take time. Obtaining new detention capacity will take months or potentially years," as will hiring more ICE agents, said Aaron Reichlin-Melnick, senior fellow at immigrant-rights research group American Immigration Council. "Despite Stephen Miller and others talking in terms of a 'shock-and-awe' campaign, I’m deeply skeptical the U.S. government has the capacity to do something like that." Angeles' mother, Monica, who asked that the Star only use her first name, said she wishes she could shield her children from the stress they're experiencing, but Trump's re-election has forced them to have hard conversations. Monica, a housekeeper and immigrant-rights advocate, has a wide smile and is quick to laugh. But her eyes fill with tears when talking about leaving Tucson, which now feels more like home than the one she left in Oaxaca, Mexico, nearly 20 years ago. Monica, a housekeeper, drapes her arms around her husband and her three children Angeles, Amaya and Axel, on Friday. Monica and her husband are undocumented immigrants whose three children were all born in the United States. Tucson now feels more like home than the one Monica left in Oaxaca, Mexico nearly 20 years ago, she says. Speaking to the Star in Spanish on a recent afternoon, a thick braid of hair draped over her shoulder, Monica recalled the years when she kept the shades drawn and always had the suitcases packed in case they had to leave. She's warned her children to be careful of police officers who might act more aggressively, emboldened by Proposition 314, as she said happened under SB1070. "Now we have to prepare, as a community," she said. "It's a sad and painful time." Community mobilizing As the sun set on Thursday evening, nearly 50 activists and organizers gathered at Coalición de Derechos Humanos' community center in South Tucson. Bouncing between English and Spanish, community members, legal advocates and social-justice activists pulled chairs into circle and hammered out details of an upcoming "Know Your Rights" clinic for undocumented immigrants and allies. The network of human-rights groups, led by Coalición de Derechos Humanos, is forming committees — including education, political outreach, emergency response and mental health — and scripting role-playing skits on how to respond if detained and questioned about one's immigration status. "We need volunteers to be actors," organizer Jennifer Cervantes announced at the meeting, joking, "It is a dark comedy." Jennifer Cervantes leads the weekly meeting of Coalición de Derechos Humanos in Tucson on Thursday evening, discussing efforts to deal with the new administration’s mass deportation plans. They're also seeking allies, U.S. citizen volunteers willing to show up quickly when someone is detained, or to accompany people to required check-ins with ICE, where they could be vulnerable to arrest. Organizers, some of whom are undocumented themselves, worry they could be targeted, too, said immigration attorney Alba Jaramillo of the Human Rights Coalition, and co-executive director of the Immigration Law and Justice Network. "We're going to have to figure out a way to do this that is safe," she said. "After Jan. 20, it's going to have to become an underground movement." In times of fear, it's crucial to empower people with knowledge and tools to defend themselves, said Manuel Ruiz, an activist who is also undocumented. "I think my family, and all immigrant families, will be greatly impacted by the insecurity of leaving your house and not knowing what will happen," he said in Spanish. "It's a chaos and a stress that are affecting us greatly." He advises maintaining an "emergency kit" with important documents — such as passports, asylum-petition documentation or birth certificates — in a secure place. Undocumented parents should sign power-of-attorney or guardianship papers to ensure someone they trust could care for their children, in case of a sudden detainment. If questioned during a traffic stop, assert the 5th Amendment right to remain silent, Silva said. “Don't say where you were born, don't respond to their questions. Say, 'I'm not allowed to say anything without an attorney present,'" she said. Local law enforcement Trump’s team has "two camps” with competing ideas of how mass deportations will be carried out, Reichlin-Melnick said. On one side is Stephen Miller, Trump's named deputy chief of staff of policy, who describes detention centers constructed by military, deployment of National Guard troops in immigrant-friendly cities and a sweeping effort to round up undocumented people, with no prioritization of those with criminal records, as is currently the policy under the Biden administration. Tom Homan, the former ICE director who will be Trump’s “border czar,” envisions a “more restrained operation" akin to current ICE operations targeting criminals, but with more resources, scaled-up detention capacity and "collateral arrests" of people near ICE's intended targets, Reichlin-Melnick said. Local officials said it's not yet clear what mass deportations will actually look like, and what kind of pressure local authorities will face to cooperate. Pima County Sheriff Chris Nanos, a Democrat who faces a recount in his narrow Nov. 5 election victory, told the Star that sheriff's deputies here will not participate in immigration enforcement. “I will say this: If Border Patrol called the Sheriff's Office and said, ’We need you to help us check on businesses and make sure everybody there has immigration status that's correct,’ we would never do that," he said. Nanos said sheriff's deputies cannot hold people for immigration violations without a court-ordered warrant transferring them to ICE custody. If ICE needs more detention space, "we’re not putting them in my jail," he said. "That's the federal government's problem." Most of Proposition 314's provisions will only go into effect if a similar law in Texas survives a court challenge. If enacted, it allows local law enforcement to arrest people for immigration violations, but it's not a mandate, Nanos said. "I do not plan to put deputies on the border. I need deputies here on my streets," he said. "My deputies have a job to do, and it has nothing to do with immigration.”’ Facing hard limits on the number of deportations that can happen in four years, the Trump administration will use fear to push people to leave on their own, Reichlin-Melnick said. "I think it's important for people to realize the Trump administration is going to weaponize fear here. They’ll weaponize public relations around raids," he said in a recent interview on The Majority Report . "We’re going to see a lot of cases in the first six months where ICE carries out a pretty standard operation and rather than a small press release coming out from the ICE Public Affairs office, we’ll see the White House blast out media images of raids. ... The idea there is to send people into the shadows and get them to self-deport." Economic, social impacts Deporting 1 million people annually would cost an average of $88 billion per year, including costs of arrests, detentions, legal processing and removals, according to an October report from the American Immigration Council. The U.S. economy also stands to lose the billions in revenue that undocumented immigrants contribute through sales, income and property taxes. In 2022, undocumented workers contributed $96.7 billion in federal, state and local taxes, according to a July study from the Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy. (People without Social Security numbers can pay taxes using Individual Tax Identification Numbers, issued by the Internal Revenue Service.) That includes $25.7 billion for Social Security and $6.4 billion for Medicare, programs for which undocumented workers are not eligible themselves. And in Arizona, undocumented immigrants paid $706 million in state and local taxes in 2022. Manuel Ruiz addresses the dozens at the weekly meeting of Coalición de Derechos Humanos — Human Rights Coalition — about plans to react to the Trump administration’s mass deportation promises. The Tucson Hispanic Chamber of Commerce is trying to educate Arizona's U.S. legislators on what mass deportations would mean for the economy, particularly in industries like agriculture, construction and hospitality, said Robert Elias, chamber CEO. Work shortages in the farming sector could increase reliance on automation and reduce jobs in the long-term, as well as increase food prices, he said. “Arizona's economy heavily relies on undocumented immigrant labor,” Elias said. "I don't believe anybody who says they care about the economy can be for this type of (deportation) policy, regardless of whether they’re Democrat, Republican or Independent.” Housing advocates say construction workforce shortages could exacerbate housing costs by slowing new homebuilding. “We are monitoring the situation closely," David Godlewski, president and CEO of the Southern Arizona Home Builders Association, said in an email. "The home building industry recognizes the importance of a robust and reliable workforce which is integral in meeting the current and future housing needs of our region. It’s a balancing act that requires investing in the workforce training, increasing the number of visas and exploring comprehensive immigration reform.” U.S. citizens affected, too Deportations have a ripple effect on the finances of entire households, and the wider community, said Geoff Boyce, research affiliate at the University of Arizona's Binational Migration Institute. In a 2020 study based on interviews with 125 Tucson households, Boyce calculated families incurred an average loss of $24,000 per arrest following a deportation, including lost income and legal fees. Two-thirds of family members in the survey were U.S. citizens, part of mixed-status families, he said. "What we find is the majority of people impacted by deportations are in fact U.S. citizens," Boyce said. "That's a reflection of how undocumented people are not a population that's isolated and lives apart from the rest of the community. They’re part of our families, our neighborhoods and our lives." Using a sports metaphor, Boyce said mass deportation can be understood as an "own goal," that is, "our own government sabotaging the health and well-being of the people it is supposed to serve and represent." Workplace raids don't usually net large numbers of deportations, relative to the massive amount of resources needed to carry them out, Reichlin-Melnick said. But they could be an effective P.R. strategy for Trump, he said. Workplace raids are experienced locally as disasters, said Liz Oglesby, associate professor in the UA's Center for Latin American Studies. Between 2007 and 2013 Oglesby interviewed residents of three U.S. cities hit by large-scale raids, carried out like military operations, under Republican President George W. Bush. In the small town of Postville, Iowa, the children of Guatemalan and Mexican immigrants were the only reason some local schools had been able to stay open, Oglesby said. The town lost one-third of its population when its foreign-born residents fled, following a raid led by 800 ICE agents that picked up nearly 400 undocumented workers at a meat-packing plant. In Postville, "the response in the community became bipartisan, in the sense that across the political spectrum people stood up and said, 'No, we don't want this kind of disaster in our community,'" Oglesby said. "It tore apart the social fabric of the community." Impact on children About 11 million undocumented residents live in the U.S., and about 4.4 million U.S.-born children live with an undocumented parent, according to the Pew Research Center . A 2017 study estimated the cost of foster care for U.S.-born children of deported parents to be $118 billion, assuming one-third of affected children remained in the U.S. instead of leaving with their parent. In Arizona, about 8.6% of U.S.-born children live with a foreign-born parent, and deportation threats cause tremendous stress, said Pima County Supervisor Adelita Grijalva, a Democrat. In Tucson under SB1070, the wave of fear that spread through the community led to high rates of absenteeism at schools, as parents kept their children home. Ultimately, the Tucson Unified School District lost about 15,000 enrolled students as families fled Arizona, said Grijalva, a former TUSD Governing Board member. Most Pima County schools now have emergency protocols for if a student's parent is detained, mostly involving crisis-response teams, Grijalva said. "It's mostly trauma services, the same sort of services you would provide if a parent was in a car accident," she said. TUSD did not respond to the Star's request for details on those protocols, but spokeswoman Karla Escamilla in an email, "Federal law prohibits public schools from requiring documentation on immigration status for enrollment." “There have to be safe spaces for our kids," Grijalva said. “That’s a protection every public school should provide. ... Both Pima County and the City of Tucson have taken strong positions on this (under SB1070) and I anticipate we'll renew our efforts this upcoming year." DACA recipients also worried This year's election night was painful for Jimena, 28, and her husband José, 36, whose parents brought him to the U.S. from Veracruz, Mexico, when he was 14. The couple asked that the Star only use their first names because they worry José, like many others, is vulnerable to losing his protected status under the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals program, or DACA. The Obama-era program protects from deportation 535,000 undocumented immigrants who were brought to the U.S. as children. DACA recipients can get work permits, and must renew their status every two years. The Supreme Court blocked Trump's first-term efforts to rescind DACA in 2020. The program's future is now up to an appeals court, after the Biden Administration challenged a 2023 Texas federal judge's decision ruling the program illegal. Congress hasn't acted to provide a pathway to citizenship for DACA recipients despite polls showing strong support for it. Jimena and José said they stayed up late on election night, planning for if they have to leave the home they own in Casa Grande. At 13 weeks pregnant, Jimena says it's been hard to get excited about becoming parents. Trump's election feels like a personal attack, said Jimena, a naturalized U.S. citizen from El Salvador. "It feels like half of the country hates us. You can't feel safe," she said. "Sometimes I just feel numb. It's not that we forget we’re expecting a baby, but it just feels like this time where we should be focusing on our family, we have to focus on all the negativity around us." When Jimena looks at her husband, who runs an auto-glass tinting business, "I see the definition of an American dreamer," she said. "I see him as coming to this country and making something of himself. He has a business, he employs people, he pays his taxes, and he gets nothing in return but uncertainty. That's the thing that breaks my heart." Deportation causes trauma and grief, said Silva of Scholarships A-Z, whose family moved from Peru when she and her brother were children. When she was 19, Silva’s brother was detained at a traffic stop and later deported. It was 2011, and then-President Barack Obama, a Democrat, was ramping up the deportation program that would give him the moniker "deporter-in-chief" among critics. It was also one year before Obama created DACA, which Silva’s brother would have qualified for. “I wouldn’t wish deportation on anyone,” she said. "I don't know that anyone is safer because my brother isn’t in this country anymore." Now, once again, “it feels like our community is literally being hunted,” Silva said. “That is not okay. That is not what a first-world country should do." Seek community DACA recipient Luna Lara, 29, is a housing advocate in Tucson. She recalls “constantly looking over my shoulder” while growing up undocumented in Texas after her family moved from Nuevo Leon, Mexico. She and her brother “grew up on home remedies” because their parents were too scared to take them to the hospital if they were sick, she said. “It was drilled into us that we had to be good, we had to have good grades, we had to make sure we never got in trouble or in a fight, anything that would arouse suspicions or get anybody’s attention,” she said. The hyper-vigilance has never gone away, Lara said. “Even to this day, once a year my mom will have a conversation with me, 'Hey, if something happens, here’s where all the paperwork is, here’s your next step,’” she said. For those feeling isolated and anxious, seeking support in faith groups or advocacy groups is key, Silva said. "I want our community to know they’re not alone, to know they have rights, they are worthy and everything they’re feeling is valid," she said. "They don't have to go through the next four years feeling isolated." Dora Rodriguez, migrant-rights activist and founder of Salvavision in Tucson, noted that Democrats and Republicans alike have targeted immigrants. Obama deported more people in each of his two terms than Republican Trump did, and currently under the Biden Administration's June asylum restrictions , 1,200 newly arrived migrants each week are being quickly deported back to Nogales, Sonora, she said. At 19, Rodriguez nearly died crossing the Sonoran Desert after she fled war-torn El Salvador in 1980. Rodriguez doesn't believe Trump can follow through on his deportation threats — "Mexico didn’t build the wall like he told us," she said — but she's concerned about how local law enforcement will react to Proposition 314 if it goes into effect. As activists, "We’re not scared. We’re more outraged," she said. "I don't have space to be afraid. I don't have space to give up. ... When I talk to people who are already saying, 'I'm going to take my husband to California because I am terrified of that new law in Arizona,' how can you answer that? You just have to be there for that person and say, 'No, you're not alone. We’re gonna fight for you.'" Lara said the prospect of mass deportations makes her feel angry, but she doesn’t want to say she’s afraid. “I hate to use the word fear, because I’ve lived in fear all my life," she said. She’s still holding on to hope that what she was taught to love about the U.S., as a place of equality and freedom, might still be true. “I’m blessed every day to be waking up in a great country that I still believe in,” Lara said. “I just need it to love me back.” Contact reporter Emily Bregel at ebregel@tucson.com . On X, formerly Twitter: @EmilyBregel In a Friday Instagram video , Tucson Mayor Regina Romero, a Democrat, said: " I want to reassure every single resident that I am committed to do all we can to keep our community safe. I am deeply troubled by President-Elect Trump’s plans for mass deportation. I believe they are cruel and immoral. I will work with our police chief to make sure that our focus remains on protecting and serving Tucsonans. Here in Tucson, we know how to stand up and fight against hate and racist laws. Part of our history is coming together with our faith leaders and other organizations to protect children and families from separation. I am unwavering in my commitment to this fight. While we do not have specific details about how mass deportations will be carried out by President-Elect Trump’s administration, we do know that it will be painful to children, families and our immigrant community. We do not have the exact details as to when and if Proposition 314 goes into effect, we know that this hate-filled proposition draws from SB1070 — the "show me your papers" law. We are a compassionate city that knows we are stronger together and that values our multi-racial heritage. Justice will prevail. Subscribe to stay connected to Tucson. A subscription helps you access more of the local stories that keep you connected to the community. Be the first to know Get local news delivered to your inbox! Border reporter

Progressivism and the murder of a health insurance CEOTottenham joins list of top Premier League teams to lose at Bournemouth after Huijsen winner

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Judge dismisses Republican election lawsuit against Fulton County

Lawhive's cofounders (L-R) London-based legal startup Lawhive has added $40 million to its coffers in a new fundraising that attracted a diverse group of investors. The startup’s Series A round was co-led by Silicon Valley giant Google Ventures (GV) and New York’s TQ Ventures . And they were joined by the London-based investors Balderton Capital, Jigsaw, and Episode 1, as well as Manchester United’s Harry Maguire and Chelsea’s Reece James. Lawhive did not disclose the valuation at which the funds were raised. Earlier this year, the startup had raised nearly $12 million in a seed round that was also led by Google Ventures. Lawhive said Thursday that it intends to use the freshly raised capital to accelerate its expansion into the U.S., where the consumer legal market is estimated to be worth $130 billion. “By augmenting the work of human lawyers with our technology, we’re addressing a critical need in the U.S. market and unlocking new opportunities for millions of U.S. attorneys,” Lawhive’s cofounder and CEO Pierre Proner said in a statement. FBI Warns iPhone And Android Users—Stop Sending Texts Microsoft’s New Update—Bad News Confirmed For 400 Million Windows Users Smartphone Security Warning—Make These Changes Now Or Become A Victim Proner cofounded Lawhive in 2019 with Jaime Van Oers and Flinn Dolman with the aim of making legal services more accessible and affordable. The startup has developed an AI-powered platform that automates routine administrative tasks for lawyers, reducing costs for customers by up to 50%, the company says. A key feature of the platform is a bot called “Lawrence,” which is designed to assist with work that would often be performed by paralegals or junior lawyers. Lawhive said that it put Lawrence to the test and found it was able to match the performance of human lawyers by passing part one of the Solicitors Qualifying Examination (SQE). Lawhive also operates a marketplace that pairs prospective clients with lawyers at what the startup says are lower rates than those offered by traditional law firms. Google Ventures’ partner Vidu Shanmugarajah , said, “As a lawyer by background, I've been impressed with Lawhive's unparalleled technology and vision to move the legal industry into the modern era. We're excited to double down on our investment as Lawhive brings its model to the U.S. and beyond."

Watch: Flyer from Riyadh held for smuggling gold in cream box at Delhi airportNoneSan Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy was limited with the right shoulder injury that sidelined him last week and there is growing concern about the long-term status of left tackle Trent Williams. Wednesday's practice was not the start to the NFL workweek head coach Kyle Shanahan had hoped after Purdy was unable to bounce back from a shoulder injury in Week 11. Brandon Allen started at Green Bay and the 49ers (5-6) lost 38-10 with the backup-turned-starter committing three turnovers. Williams was reportedly spotted in the locker room with a knee scooter and is experiencing pain walking. He played through an ankle injury against the Seattle Seahawks Nov. 17. Defensive end Nick Bosa (hip, oblique) also missed practice Wednesday, leaving the 49ers to spend the holiday plotting to play the Buffalo Bills (9-2) without the three Pro Bowlers again. "I don't know anyone who gets Thanksgiving off unless maybe you have a Monday night game. You just start a lot earlier and get the players out," Shanahan said. "We cram everything in so the players get out, tries to be home with the family by 5. I usually get home by 7 and they're all mad at me, then get back to red-zone (installation)." The 49ers are in danger of a three-game losing streak for the first time since Oct. 2021. Injuries have been a common thread since September when running back Christian McCaffrey was a surprise scratch with an Achilles injury for the opener. Wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk (ACL) is out for the season at a position dinged from top to bottom. Star linebacker Fred Warner also is ailing and said Wednesday that he fractured a bone in his ankle on Sept. 29 against the New England Patriots. The game against the Bills will mark his eighth straight game playing with the injury. "It's something I deal with every game," Warner said. "I get on that table before every game and get it shot up every single game just to be able to roll. But it's not an excuse. It's just what it is. That's the NFL. You're not going to be healthy. You've got to go out there, you've got to find ways to execute, to play at a high level and to win every single week." Shanahan wasn't interested in injury talk. He said the 49ers have not played well in the past two weeks, and puts part of his focus on getting more out of the running game with snow in the forecast on Sunday night. He's not in agreement with pundits who doubt McCaffrey's ability early into his return from injured reserve, with a per-carry average of 3.5 yards compared to 5.4 in 2023. "The speculation on Christian is a little unfair to him," Shanahan said. "Christian is playing very well. He's playing his ass off. To think a guy who misses the entire offseason is going to come back and be the exact same the day he comes back would be unfair to any player in the world." San Francisco opened the 21-day practice window for linebacker Dre Greenlaw, who tore his Achilles in the Super Bowl in February. His return date is unclear. --Field Level Media

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